With 3 weeks closing within the common season, Georgia Tech stays alive for the ACC Coastal Department identify. Through the calculations of ESPN’s Soccer Energy Index, the Yellow Jackets’ possibilities to win the department for the 5th time progressed from six p.c to 10 p.c after the weekend’s video games, which incorporated their 38-28 win at North Carolina on Saturday afternoon and Virginia Tech’s house loss to Boston Faculty later that night.
The primary situation that the Jackets have to fulfill is to win their two closing ACC video games, a house night time recreation this Saturday in opposition to Miami and at house in opposition to Virginia on Nov. 17 to complete at 5-Three in league play. (ESPN offers that end result a likelihood of 37 p.c.)
The following can be for the 3 Coastal groups with fewer than 3 losses – Pittsburgh (4-1), Virginia (4-2) and Virginia Tech (3-2) to complete no higher than 5-3. Duke at 2-Three taking any other loss would assist, too, because the Blue Devils personal a tiebreaker over the Jackets. (Duke performs at No. 2 Clemson in two weeks. Analysis: Grim.) Miami may be 2-Three and would end in the back of Tech within the Jackets-win-out situation.
Georgia Tech too can care for Virginia getting a 3rd loss with its head-to-head assembly in two Saturdays, a outcome that might additionally give the Jackets a tiebreaker over the Cavaliers. Virginia Tech concludes with a highway recreation at Pittsburgh this Saturday, house in opposition to Miami and residential in opposition to Virginia.
Pitt holds essentially the most regulate at this level. ESPN offers the Panthers a 42 p.c probability of profitable, adopted by way of Virginia Tech at 19 p.c, Miami at 16 p.c, Virginia at 14 p.c and the Jackets on the aforementioned 10 p.c. (Caution: Percentages upload as much as 101.)
Two wins in Pitt’s ultimate 3 – in opposition to Virginia Tech, at Wake Wooded area and at Miami – will guarantee them of its first ACC Coastal identify, and likewise would make the Panthers the 6th other crew to constitute the department within the ACC identify recreation in six years, which hasn’t ever came about in FBS’ quick historical past of meetings with two divisions.
As for Georgia Tech, right here’s the deal: But even so completing at 5-3, the Jackets additionally want Virginia Tech to overcome Pitt at the highway this Saturday. A Pitt win over the Hokies would make sure a 5-Three report at worst for Pitt, and there does now not seem to be a tiebreaker situation that the Jackets can win over the Panthers. Definitely they are able to’t win a two-team tie with Pitt, as head-to-head pageant is the primary tiebreaker and the Jackets misplaced to the Panthers Sept. 15 in Pittsburgh.
However, within the other eventualities through which Tech may tie with Pitt and likewise Virginia, Duke or Virginia Tech or any mixture thereof, the Jackets would now not have the ability to emerge with the championship.
Alternatively, Pitt completing at 5-Three with a loss to Virginia Tech is a distinct tale. If so, it’s possible that the Jackets may advance to the ACC identify recreation out of a three-, four- or five-team tiebreaker. After head-to-head report amongst 3 or extra tied groups, the following tiebreaker is department report.
So, for instance, Virginia Tech, Pitt and Georgia Tech may tie at 5-Three with 1-1 information in opposition to each and every different. The following tiebreaker can be department report. If the Panthers get to 5-Three by way of dropping to Pitt and Miami and beating Wake Wooded area, their department report can be 3-3. Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech’s would each be 4-2, getting rid of Pitt after which making it a two-team tiebreaker, which the Jackets would win by way of distinctive feature in their win in Blacksburg, Va.
There’s different results, however for simplicity’s sake, Pitt at 4-Four can be a lot more uncomplicated for the Jackets’ functions.
For now, Tech lovers can cheer for the Jackets beat Miami and Virginia and for Virginia Tech to overcome Pitt.
From Friday: Seeking to make sense of Coastal Chaos